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In this week’s episode of “One Man’s Opinion” 10-year US Treasury yields have remained range-bound since June last year and the trading range has been very clear, varying between 2.5 and 3 percent, suggesting borrowing is back, said Anthony Crescenzi, a portfolio manager at PIMCO.The US economic growth is expected to accelerate to about 2.8 percent this year from the low twos that has been the norm for a number of years. The US 10-year yields are expected to slowly rise as the monetary policy normalizes and is likely to trade between 2.75 percent and 3.75 percent in future, meaning investors should be a little bit short in maturities expecting rates to rise and be in the front-end of the yield-curve.
With the shorter maturities, the Fed is protecting the investors and is indicating it will be doing so for at least till the middle of 2015, as one key Fed member – William Dudley of New York Federal Reserve Bank said recently, he observed.
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In 2000, and in 2008, in the midst of apparent market expansion, Ulli’s methodology directed him and his clients to the safety of the sidelines just before the beginning of the brunt of the bear market. Ulli has written countless articles on investing and the very popular e-book “How to beat the S&P 500…with the S&P 500”
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